Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.002586 0.002754 0.002934 0.003144 0.003383 0.003648 0.003968
2025-01-26 0.002214 0.002422 0.002656 0.002945 0.003296 0.003716 0.004272
2025-02-02 0.002069 0.002312 0.002599 0.002969 0.003447 0.004063 0.004958
2025-02-09 0.001992 0.002267 0.002603 0.003056 0.003676 0.004537 0.005923
2025-02-16 0.001901 0.002193 0.002558 0.003069 0.003799 0.004880 0.006791
2025-02-23 0.001862 0.002177 0.002583 0.003173 0.004060 0.005474 0.008298
2025-03-02 0.001776 0.002093 0.002510 0.003128 0.004089 0.005697 0.009206
2025-03-09 0.001689 0.002003 0.002419 0.003047 0.004049 0.005790 0.009878
2025-03-16 0.001658 0.001984 0.002426 0.003109 0.004244 0.006352 0.012027
2025-03-23 0.001626 0.001962 0.002425 0.003159 0.004425 0.006935 0.014807
2025-03-30 0.001573 0.001908 0.002373 0.003123 0.004448 0.007192 0.016819
2025-04-06 0.001507 0.001832 0.002287 0.003024 0.004343 0.007136 0.017559
2025-04-13 0.001466 0.001792 0.002253 0.003015 0.004419 0.007564 0.021469
2025-04-20 0.001379 0.001685 0.002116 0.002828 0.004136 0.007045 0.019631
2025-04-27 0.001352 0.001662 0.002105 0.002850 0.004264 0.007616 0.025771
2025-05-04 0.001342 0.001662 0.002128 0.002931 0.004523 0.008666 0.042733
2025-05-11 0.001316 0.001638 0.002112 0.002943 0.004640 0.009361 0.068929
2025-05-18 0.001311 0.001644 0.002142 0.003039 0.004961 0.010965 0.385518
2025-05-25 0.001276 0.001605 0.002099 0.002997 0.004956 0.011356 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001237 0.001558 0.002041 0.002923 0.004863 0.011341 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001227 0.001553 0.002052 0.002980 0.005103 0.013000 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001215 0.001546 0.002057 0.003026 0.005326 0.014885 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001189 0.001516 0.002023 0.002993 0.005332 0.015565 NaN